Monday, September 3, 2012

Week 1 NFL Matchups and Fantasy Outlook

Cowboys v. Giants:
Look for an aggressive Giants' D-Line all over Tony Romo.  If the Cowboys line can protect Romo enough, watch for a Dez Bryant Sportscenter touchdown, or set up the play action pass with DeMarco Murray(hope you have his handcuff, and I think it's Phillip Tanner not Felix jones), and hopefully it's Austin and Bryant getting the endzone snags.  On the flip side, the Giants O-line can protect Eli well, and as long as he keeps the INT's down(don't think Morris Claiborne is Patrick Peterson), Nicks and Cruz will be big.  I'm thinking high scoring game and whoever is up at the end reaps the Running Back reward.  I like The Cowboys in this one actually, So start your Cowboy receivers, Romo(hopefully avoids mistakes), and probably Murray since you drafted him in the 3rd round or higher.  After the G-men line the secondary isn't hard to beat.  I'd actually sit Bradshaw(yes i know he was also a high pick), and Wilson until Coughlin figures out who he's going with.  Eli, Cruz and Nicks are all good plays.

Dolphins @ Texans:
If you drafted Miami running backs, I think they're going to be down the wholle game so look for an emerging receiver for Tannehill when they're behind.  Don't start Miami anything.  Unless it's Fasano, I like him this for this game.  Texan's will have a field day @ home, so start Schaub, Johnson(even though I'm down on him this year), Foster 
                                  (derp) and maybe even Tate after Arian racks up 160+ and 2.  Could go Daniels in a deeper league.  Texans big.


Patriots @ Titans: New England has to win this game, they're revolutionized passing, and Tom Brady can
                                score with anyone.  Even Ridley is a start along with Brady's 4 targets, along with the golden boy himself.  
                                I like the "new look" Patriot defense, but still think CJ2k gets in once or twice, around
                                60-80 yards, so not ridiculous numbers, so startable.  We don't know about Locker, 
                                Washington or Wright, and with Britt suspended for the game those 2 may be startable  
                                since Britt is out.  The Pats d was terribad last year, but I just don't know how Locker
                                will do with all the pressure.  Pats by large amounts.

Rams @ Lions: Poor St. Louis having to start at Detroit.  D-Town looked locked in during the preseason,
                           So big games against a bad d for Staff, Johnson, Smith, Young, and Pettigrew.
                           Bradford might have a tough time with Detroit's line, since they'll be down I'd sit 
                           Jackson(but you really can't), and your Ram's receivers since we don't know who it is 
                           yet (my money is Amendola). Lions take care of business.

Redskins @ Saints: RG3 doesn't open in a good atmosphere, so his mental toughness will be challenged 
                                  immediately.  I think he has it, but it's a risky start.  Fred Davis and Garcon seem like
                                  his targets, but sit all 'skins running backs until Royster or Helu gets the bulk of the carries.  Saints at home means good things 
                                  for my Saints-heavy team, Brees, Graham, Ingram (think he's the guy this year), Saints 
                                  D(RG3 will make mistakes), Sproles, and Colston.  Thomas might get in on a screen.
                                  Saints all the way in this one.

Colts @ Bears:                I feel sorry for Luck as well as RG3 for their first NFL regular season action 
                                          being against stingy defenses, so start all your Bear's, maybe even Hester or 
                                          Bush.  Donald Brown I like, but not in this game.  He'll get the checkdowns from
                                          Luck, and might get in the endzone late.  Sit Wayne, Fleener, Luck, and Collie,
                                          don't see much from Indy going to Chicago to try and begin a new era.
    
Jaguars @ Vikings:              Battle of the bads in week 1.  Should be high scoring, so start Jennings(MJD 
                                               will only see limited action), Blackmon (like him this game), and possibly even Gabbert if you're 
                                               a super deep league.  Minnesota's D is bad.  Luckily, Jacksonville doesn't 
                                               have a good one either, so Harvin, Gerhart(don't think AP plays), Rudolph
                                               (could be this year's Jimmy Graham, but Ponder is no Drew Brees), are all 
                                               starts in the Matt Barkley Bowl.  If you have a league that gives more points
                                               for sacks Minnesota's D might be ok.
     
Bills @ Jets:      Two great defenses.  If the Jets continue to struggle on offense, sit all starters until further 
                            notice.  Fred 
                            Jackson will have a huge game, Fitzpatrick may have a hard time finding Johnson on Revis 
                            Island, so unless you aren't deep at receiver, try to sit all but F-Jax.  I think Buffalo wins
                            21-17.

Eagles @ Browns:      Eagles win Big.  Weeden and McCoy are like Whitehurst and Jackson, and T-Rich
                                     is also a sit, banged up and no offensive-line.  Start all Eagles.  

Falcons @ Chiefs:    Arrowhead is not an easy place to play, but the finely-tuned passing attack of the 
                                   Falcons prevails if it's a nice day outside.  Watch for the weather, because rain will 
                                   increase Turner's value.  All Falcons players are starts, even though I have a sneaky
                                   suspicion the Chief's D is underrated and shuts down the high powered dome
                                   offense(Green Bay last year).  Start Charles, Bowe, and Hillis if in a deeper league, but look for a lower-scoring game than you
                                   might think.  Falcons 16-14

49ers @ Packers:   Tough start for both teams.  I think the defenses are sits if you can afford to, but Gore  
                                 and Davis are starts.  Don't know who Smith's receiver is yet.  Rodgers, Jennings, 
                                 Nelson(even though I think one will have a bad game), Finley, and Benson can also go 
                                 (Benson could see limited touches on a pass first team).  Pack in a shootout, 38-31.

Seahawks @ Cardinals:  Seahawks big in this one.  Fitzy might get a garbage score, we don't know what 
                                          running back or Quarterback it is in the desert, so sit everything but Fitz.  
                                          Seahawks D will be huge, Lynch, even Turbin(if they're up enough), Wilson (my 
                                          sleeper), Winslow, and Probably Rice are all start's.  

Panthers @ Buccaneers: Can Cam Newton continue his success?  He won't get 14 rushing 
                                           touchdowns this year, but should do well against a bad defense.  Start him, Olsen, Smith, 
                                           and possibly LaFell.  Deangelo could get extra looks with Stewart questionable so he's a play too.  It will be interesting to see Doug Martin against a bad 
                                           defense, and how much Blount is used, since I'm not totally sold on Martin yet.  Start Jackson, Freeman, Martin, and 
                                           Williams.  I think the Panthers win but in a close one.

Steelers @ Broncos:  The altitude means Ryan Clark can't play, but the Steeler's always have a great D. 
                                     If they get enough oxygen, Wallace, Brown, Roethlisberger, and whatever running
                                     back starts are all good plays, there's only one Champ Bailey.  Peyton is a start, 
                                     along with Decker, McGahee, and maybe Tamme or Thomas even though I'm not     
                                     sure about him.  I think the Broncos pull it off, 31-24.

Bengals @ Ravens:  Monday Night Football opens with a delectable AFC North matchup, and all the 
                                   Fantasy players out there want a high scoring game(unless you have the Ravens D).
                                   A.J. Green, maybe Gresham and the law firm are good to go, but I think it's either
                                   feast or famine for BenJarvus, since he's hurt and Haloti Ngata is staring him down.
                                   Ravens D, Rice, Smith, and maybe Boldin are all plays.  I think the Ravens win @
                                   home.

  Chargers @ Raiders:  The other MNF game is just as intriguing.  Some sleepers may emerge in this one.   
                                        So-so D's, and pretty good offenses.  I think Rivers and Gates start off well this
                                        year, Matthews is banged up, and either Floyd or Meachem will have a big game.
                                        If McFadden stays healthy, he might be the best back in the league.  Ingram could
                                        slow him down but I doubt it.  Hey-Bey and Moore will also have big games with 
                                        a consistent Palmer at the helm.  Chargers win, but it is going to be close since
                                        Norv Turner is their coach. 
               


No comments:

Post a Comment